Few People Regularly Read Trump’s Tweets — And Many of Them Are Democrats
[vc_single_image image=”65025″]October 2018
By Doug Pinkham
President
Public Affairs Council
If a U.S. president tweets in a forest and no one is around to hear him, does he make a sound? Perhaps not.
The 2018 Public Affairs Pulse survey shows that nearly 60% of Americans rarely or never read President Trump’s tweets, either via Twitter or the news media, and only 15% read his tweets “very often.” Among people who approve of the president’s performance, just 15% are regular readers.
The poll of 2,200 Americans, developed by the Public Affairs Council and conducted by Morning Consult in late August, examines a wide range of topics related to business and society. These include public opinions about U.S. vs. foreign-based companies, the most trusted sources of political news, which industries are gaining and losing trust, and which ones are considered under-regulated.
So why do Trump’s social media rants draw so much attention? It’s partially because the news media magnify his comments when he says something controversial. But, in addition, 50% of self-described liberals and 46% of Democrats do read his tweets and tell friends and family about them.
In comparison, only 43% of Republicans and 36% of Independents read the president’s tweets at least somewhat often. Only 37% of Americans without a college degree read his missives, but 51% of those with at least a B.A. degree do see them.
It turns out that Twitter may not be an effective strategy for the president to communicate with his base. The poll shows that only one out of four people who strongly approve of Trump’s job performance regularly reads his tweets. Frequent readership is even lower among rural Americans (14%), Republican women (11%), and evangelical Christians (15%) — three key demographic groups for the president.
Companies criticized in Trump’s tweets shouldn’t overreact
Soon after Trump’s inauguration, the Guardian newspaper called him “The first Twitter president of the United States.” But POTUS didn’t wait until Jan. 20, 2017, to lob criticisms at major U.S. firms Boeing and Lockheed Martin. In the weeks and months that followed those early attacks he derided Nordstrom, Merck, Amazon (at least four times), Facebook, Harley-Davidson, CNN and a host of other companies.
Understandably, these firms were worried about sudden drops in stock prices, the loss of government business and long-term damage to their reputations. And some spent significant amounts of time and money trying to figure out how best to respond. After all, this type of crisis had never happened before.
Yet, research now shows that when Americans encounter the president’s criticisms of specific companies, the vast majority (80%) don’t change their opinions, don’t understand Trump’s criticism, don’t know how to react or simply don’t care.
While 10% say they have a less favorable opinion of a company once it is attacked by the president in a tweet, an equal percentage say they actually have a more favorable opinion. Groups most likely to be persuaded by the president’s reproaches include Republican men (26%) and people who strongly approve of Trump (27%). Groups most likely to take the opposite view — and favor a company more after it has been criticized — include Democratic men (21%) and Americans who care about women’s policy issues (22%).
For some people, getting attacked by Trump is good for their reputation
As one would expect, a healthy percentage (30%) of those who strongly approve of Trump say they have a less favorable opinion of a person called out in a negative tweet. But, overall, when President Trump criticizes an individual by name, that person is just as likely to gain popularity as lose popularity. Eleven percent say they have a less favorable opinion of the person in Trump’s sights and 12% have a more favorable opinion. As with tweets about businesses, a large majority of tweet readers don’t change their opinion or don’t know what to think.
Among certain demographic groups, there is a net positive effect associated with being picked on by POTUS. Statistically speaking, if someone wants to become more popular with young people, Democrats, African Americans, Hispanics or Jewish Americans, he or she might want to find a way to earn the ire of the president. In fact, a Democratic candidate seeking to appeal to voters who care about education, energy, healthcare and women’s issues could benefit significantly from a negative Trump tweet.
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A special webinar covering major findings of the 2018 Public Affairs Pulse survey will be held on Oct. 29 at 2 pm EST. Council members who would like to explore the study’s implications for their organization’s government affairs, communications or corporate responsibility functions should contact Council President Doug Pinkham at (202) 787-5964.
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Additional Resources
2018 Public Affairs Pulse survey – the full report
The Final Analysis: How the 2018 Midterms Will Shape Our Politics
Who Do We Trust for Political News?
With mainstream media fighting the “fake news” label and social media platforms facing criticism for allowing Russian bots to spread lies, the most trustworthy source of news about politics is now “friends and family.”
In the 2018 Public Affairs Pulse survey, 71% say they trust political information from friends and family “some” or “a lot,” and only 18% have little or no trust in this source of news. In contrast, the news media — which comes in second place — is considered trustworthy by just 46% of the public and essentially untrustworthy by 43%.
Right behind the news media are trade and professional associations, with a trustworthiness score of 45%, and businesses, with a trustworthiness score of 44%. Both of these information sources had better net trustworthiness ratings (percentage trusted minus percentage distrusted) than the news media.
Although social media is the primary source of political news for many people, only 31% of the public have at least some trust in what they learn via social media. Fifty eight percent have little or no trust in this source.
At the bottom of the list of 10 options are the two sources of political information that probably spend the most money trying to get their message across — political campaigns and super PACs. Just 24% of Americans trust what they hear from a candidate’s campaign and 17% trust information from political groups such as super PACs.